Should Children Be Vaccinated?

If you a parent of a child or teenager there is a difficult decision to make – whether or not to have them vaccinated. The standard line, of course, will be yes for the ‘greater good’. So I thought I would dig more deeply into the benefits and risks.

Life is a risk and any assessment of the need to vaccinate children against covid has to be a calculation of risk versus benefit. This could be the benefit to the child or the benefit of not transmitting infection to an adult, perhaps by achieving ‘herd immunity’. I’m not going to address the ‘not transmitting to others’ argument, partly because Andrew Pollard of the Government’s Joint Vaccine Committee on Immunisation (JVCI) said that herd immunity is ‘mythical’ and jabs in children won’t stop Delta covid spread. This is based on previously discussed evidence that vaccinated and unvaccinated have the same viral load upon infection and the ‘breakthrough’ infections occurring in the vaccinated. The only truly calculatable merit is for the degree of protection for a child which is what I’m going to focus in on.

In medicine the benefit of a treatment is usually calculated as ‘numbers needed to treat’ (NNT) for a benefit, which in this case is primarily preventing a child dying from. There is, also, the risk of long covid post infection although I suspect an optimum nutrition approach would effect 100% recovery in almost all.

So far no healthy child has died of covid. The Office of National Statistics record 18 deaths (6 under age 1; 12 under age 14) of those testing covid positive in the past year but most seems to have been immune compromised in some way. The chart below summarises this.

A study in the journal Nature records 22 UK deaths in total in children and young people ( under 18) due to covid-19. They say is those children “older than 10 years, Asian and Black ethnic backgrounds and comorbidities were over-represented.” Think lack of vitamin D and underlying health issues. They say ‘In total, 99.995% of children and young people with a positive SARS-CoV-2 test survived.’ So if 1 million children were infected one (some with underlying health conditions and/or perhaps low vitamin D and no access to vitamin C) five would be expected to die.

In the UK we’ve got circa 10 million under 14 year-olds. Nearly half of all children have natural immunity to covid in the US, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). The same may apply here. This is quite likely because Dr James Doidge, the Senior Statistician at the Intensive Care National Audit & Research Centre (ICNARC) says “In the UK, where infections have been so prevalent among younger age groups, questions about the role of prior infection and the implications for the benefit of vaccinating those children are especially pertinent. The question is not ‘which is better [natural versus vaccinated immunity] but ‘among those with prior infection, do the benefits still outweigh the risks?”

All studies I’ve seen to date show natural immunity is better, and lasts. So, if potentially half of all children don’t need to be vaccinated, then that half has only risks. While many children who become infected are asymptomatic you’ll know if your child has been infected and is, therefore, likely to be naturally immune.

THE RISKS

What are the risks? There are three ways to answer this. The first are looking at studies on safety. The second is reports of adverse effects. The third is extrapolations from adult studies where this is more information.

Regarding actual studies that prove safety, there are none for children. The Pfizer study in the New England Journal of Medicine which got it ‘approved’ for younger children was too small. “A trial of this size is unlikely to detect rare vaccine associated adverse reactions (side effects)” says Dr Peter English, Retired Consultant in Communicable Disease Control, Former Editor of Vaccines in Practice, Immediate past Chair of the BMA Public Health Medicine Committee.

The Oxford/AstraZeneca trial on 16-17 year olds was halted for the ethical reason that the potential risk was not worth the benefit. Their main concern was Kawasaki syndrome, an inflammatory heart condition reported in children, relating to myocarditis or pericarditis.

ADVERSE REACTIONS IN CHILDREN AND TEENAGERS

Their fears our being borne out. I can find at least five pretty clear and worrying cases, two of which resulted in death. Two have been reported in medical journals, one occurred during the Pfizer vaccine trial and one is reported in the US Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS). There will, of course, be more.

Case 1 A 13-year-old boy from Michigan died on June 16th, three days after he received his second dose of Pfizer’s covid vaccine. Preliminary autopsy results indicated that following his vaccination, Jacob Clynick’s heart became enlarged and was surrounded by fluid — symptoms similar to those documented in other teen boys who experienced myocarditis following covid vaccination.

CASE 2 – On October 7th, in a peer-reviewed report in Acta Paedatrica a previously healthy 17-year-old male developed fever, vomiting, myalgia and chest pain five days after his second dose of the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine. After two days, he was admitted to the hospital with high levels of inflammatory parameters and multisystem involvement of the gastrointestinal tract, skin, central nervous system, kidneys, liver, coagulation, lungs and heart. The patient developed myocarditis — inflammation that results from the body’s immune reaction to initial heart damage. He was then placed in the ICU for six days. He was discharged after 10 days of hospitalization. Whether he has fully recovered is not stated.

CASE 3 – Then followed a case report published on October 25th describing a 16-year-old girl who developed vulvar ulcers after the Pfizer vaccine which is a ‘novel’ side effect that doctors say warrants further investigation. The report in the Journal of Pediatric and Adolescent Gynecology says, within 24 hours of receiving the vaccine, the girl developed fever, fatigue, myalgias and “sores” in her vaginal area. Over the next two days, right-sided lesions in her vaginal area coalesced and became more painful. The teen went to the urgent care with a fever of 105 degrees where she was diagnosed with a Bartholin gland abscess and prescribed antibiotics. Despite antibiotic therapy, her symptoms continued to worsen, prompting her to return to the clinic two days later. At this point, the lesions were covered in exudate with a necrotic, ring-like border, and an assessment for Lipschütz ulcers was recommended, the report states.

CASE 4 – The most recent death reported is of a 17-year-old girl from Washington who reportedly died on October 23rd from a heart attack some weeks after receiving her second dose of Pfizer. According to the VAERS report, the girl had covid in August and fully recovered. She received her first dose of Pfizer on Sept. 3 and her second dose on Sept 15. On Oct. 23, she presented to the ER with chest pain and elevated troponin. She had an abnormal echocardiogram, abnormal EKG and became increasingly tachycardic. She then suffered cardiac arrest. “Unfortunately she was not able to be resuscitated and died,” the report states. “Cause of death possible acute myocarditis.”

Case 5 An Ohio mother, Stephanie De Garay is speaking out about her 12-year-old daughter suffering extreme reactions and nearly dying after volunteering for the Pfizer coronavirus vaccine trial for teenagers. The Ohio mother says her daughter experienced additional symptoms that included gastroparesis, nausea, vomiting, erratic blood pressure, heart rate, and memory loss. “She still cannot digest food. She has a…tube to get her nutrition. She also couldn’t walk at one point, then she could…I don’t understand why and [physicians] are not looking into why…now she’s back in a wheelchair and she can’t hold her neck up. Her neck pulls back. The only diagnosis we’ve gotten for her is that it’s conversion disorder or functional neurologic symptom disorder, and they are blaming it on anxiety,” says De Garay in an interview  “Ironically, she did not have anxiety before the vaccine.” Her case is not highlighted in the trial and Pfizer deny her symptoms are a consequence of vaccination.
There have been nine reported cases of heart inflammation in the UK in under 18 year olds, all associated to the Pfizer booster. No deaths have been reported in the UK yet.
The official view, summarised in the most recent JVCI report is that the number of cases of myocarditis from the first and second dose is up to 50 cases per million in the age group 12-15, and up to 91 per million in the 16-19 age group (Table 2 in the link above). From the MHRA (Medicines Health Products Regulatory Authority) reports Pfizer vaccine produces 20 reactions to the first and 20 to the second, in other words, 41 per million (Table 3). So, we can expect 50 ‘official’ reactions per million, or 500 adverse reactions if 10 million children are double vaccinated, some of which might be fatal,. The gamble is, as JVCI says, most ‘resolve within a short time.’ They go on to say, worryingly, ‘it is not known if there are any long-term sequelae (months to years) from myocarditis.’

The Children’s Health Defense has said it will take legal action against the US Food and Drug Administration if the agency grants Emergency Use Authorization for the Pfizer vaccine for children aged 5-11. In a letter signed by Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., CHD chairman and chief legal counsel, and Dr. Meryl Nass, member of the CHD Scientific Advisory Committee, Kennedy and Nass wrote: “CHD will seek to hold you accountable for recklessly endangering this population with a product that has little efficacy but which may put them, without warning, at risk of many adverse health consequences, including heart damage, stroke, and other thrombotic events and reproductive harms.”

LEARNING FROM ADULT RISKS

What’s the risk for adults? On November 3rd “The MHRA has received 597 UK reports of suspected ADRs [adverse drug reactions] to the COVID-19 Pfizer/BioNTech Vaccine in which the patient died shortly after vaccination, 1,118 reports for the COVID-19 Vaccine AstraZeneca, 19 for the COVID-19 Vaccine Moderna and 32 where the brand of vaccine was unspecified.” That adds up to 1,766 deaths. For Pfizer, the vaccine being offered to children, there have been 597 deaths – roughly 1 in every 40,000 people vaccinated.

But given that ‘yellow card’ reports are likely to be a fraction, probably less than half of what’s actually occurring, it is not unrealistic to expect 1 death per 20,000 vaccinated. If 10 million children were vaccinated one would expect 250 deaths on this basis. Children, however, may be less likely to die than older people so, perhaps it would be 100 deaths. We just don’t know. That’s the problem. What is extremely unlikely is that there would be no deaths.

In addition, based on adult figures, if 10 million children are vaccinated one could expect thousands to have adverse effects, potentially worse than the symptoms they’d experience from covid infection with a few heart inflammation cases which may not fully resolve.

RISKS VERSUS BENEFITS

How does the risk versus benefit equation add up?

Most authorities, including the governments own JVCI, have concluded the risk outweighs the benefit for children. The Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation (JVCI) says “The available data indicate that the clinical manifestations of myocarditis following vaccination are typically self-limiting and resolves within a short time. However, the clinical picture is atypical and the medium to long-term (months to years) prognosis, including the possibility of persistence of tissue damage resulting from inflammation, is currently uncertain as sufficient follow-up time has not yet occurred. The margin of benefit, based primarily on a health perspective, is considered too small to support advice on a universal programme of vaccination of otherwise healthy 12 to 15-year-old children at this time.”

A cross party parliamentary committee reached the same conclusion. Most MPs debating the issue following a petition against covid vaccines for children, which you may have signed, reached the same conclusion.

British Medical Journal report says “Before we roll out a covid-19 vaccine for children, we should scrutinise safety data carefully and wait if there is any uncertainty.”

Many British scientists and doctors have warned against ‘blindly’ recommending the jabs to children without weighing up the risks ‘extremely carefully’. Professor Paul Hunter from the Health Protection Research Unit, University of East Anglia says benefits of jabbing children is low. Professor David Livermore, a medical microbiologist at the University of East Anglia, told MailOnline: ‘Vaccinating children to protect adults via herd immunity is ethically dubious and is scientifically weak.’ Vaccine expert, who runs a vaccine clinic, Dr Richard Halvorsen told me “Children should not be given the vaccine as it has not been tested for safety in them and they are themselves at little risk of serious illness from Covid.”

So, the majority of both scientists and politicians say hold fire. So why on earth are the Government going ahead? Why do the Government blindly even believe Pfizer results? Dr Mercola reports: “According to a whistleblower who worked on Pfizer’s Phase 3 COVID jab trial, data were falsified, patients were unblinded, the company hired poorly trained people to administer the injections, and follow-up on reported side effects lagged way behind. Brook Jackson was the regional director of Ventavia Research Group, a research organization charged with testing Pfizer’s COVID jab at several sites in Texas. Jackson repeatedly “informed her superiors of poor laboratory management, patient safety concerns, and data integrity issues,” and when her concerns were ignored, she finally filed a complaint with the U.S. Food and Drug Administration. The FDA did not follow up on her complaint. Ventavia was not one of the nine trial locations audited, and Pfizer did not bring any of those issues up when applying for emergency use authorization for its COVID shot. Documentation shared by Jackson shows a Ventavia executive had identified three site staff members who had falsified data. After being notified of Jackson’s complaints, Pfizer contracted Ventavia to conduct four additional trials — one for COVID shots in children and young adults, one for the COVID jab in pregnant women, a booster shot trial, and an RSV vaccine trial.” These allegations may sound shocking to you but this kind of practice, to guarantee you get the result you want when $billions are at stake is far from rare. Pfizer has previously been fined $2.3 billion for ‘kickbacks and off label prescribing’. This year it projects $36 billion in vaccine sales. When there’s a lot of money at stake things can get dirty.

SCHOOLS (AND PARENTS) UNDER PRESSURE

Schools, teachers and parents are under pressure too. Teachers are being told they need to be vaccinated. Vaccination for teachers isn’t yet mandatory but that’s what authorities want. In California, where it already is, the Health Freedom Defense Fund and six individual plaintiffs from California Educators for Medical Freedom filed a lawsuit against the Los Angeles Unified School District challenging COVID-19 vaccine mandate for all teachers and staff.

I have obtained a 46 slide presentation children in schools are to be shown. It’s like an Orwellian Thought Police exercise. Here’s an example of a slide [my comments in brackets]

So far, very few side effects have been reported with any of the COVID vaccines. [MHRA record 363,709 adverse reactions]

To assess adverse reactions, large trials are used in which there is a control group (who take a “placebo”) and all the other variables are controlled. [No large placebo controlled trials yet capable of assessing adverse reactions done for children.]

No serious long-term complications have been reported. [Let’s just ignore the 1,766 deaths].

The presentation I’ve seen is not ethical. It exaggerates the risk of getting covid, and what that might mean, from death to long-term disability, without explaining how rare this is in children. If downplays the risk of vaccination and doesn’t mention the inflammatory heart problems that are occurring. It assigns any issues with the reproductive system or infertility to the ‘conspiracy theory’ bin, yet these long-term follow up studies have not been done. And, as a piece of education about a viral infection, makes absolutely no mention of the importance of diet, vitamin C, D, zinc, exercise and getting outdoors with skin exposed. It’s basically and ad for vaccines. If I was a teacher, or a parent, I’d object to showing this to young people.

What’s even worse is that, in the US, if the covid vaccine is added into the mandatory list of vaccines, it automatically limits liability for damages. The same may apply here where there is already an indemnity, maxing payout for damages to around £16,000 per person, but even this is rarely ever paid. The other dark side of this situation is the claim, by some, that an under 16 year old child can decide for themselves, without parental consent. This is based on a case of a girl, who wanted contraception, and whose mother didn’t. The court ruled in this Gillick case that the girl was capable of making her own decision. Is that what you’d want for your child?